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2024-12-13 05:31:41

CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.CITIC Securities: More positive policy signals are expected to drive the market of resource products. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting released more positive policy signals, and the improvement of the real economy is expected to boost the prices of upstream resource products and lead the sector to return to the upward trend. It is suggested to focus on three main lines: 1) improving the fundamentals of general steel, coking coal, copper-aluminum basic metals and chemicals with strong consumption attributes; 2) Bonus varieties such as crude oil and thermal coal under favorable market liquidity; 3) Growing varieties such as lithium and rare earth under the favorable market style.The National Southeast Regional Emergency Rescue Center is about to be delivered. It was learned from the recent press conference held in Chaozhou, Guangdong that the National Southeast Regional Emergency Rescue Center is about to be delivered. The National Southeast Regional Emergency Rescue Center is located in Chao 'an District, Chaozhou City, Guangdong Province. It is one of the six national regional emergency rescue centers in China, focusing on the emergency rescue of typhoons and their secondary and derivative disasters. It has basic functions such as emergency command, comprehensive rescue, training drills, equipment storage and transportation, etc., to ensure that it can reach the disaster area in the shortest time to complete the difficult rescue task. (CCTV News)


Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.Goldman Sachs: I don't agree that gold can't reach $3,000 under a strong dollar. Goldman Sachs said that we don't agree with the view that the price of gold can't rise to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 when the dollar remains strong for a long time. We predict that gold will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, and the reduction of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (rather than the strengthening of the US dollar) is the downside risk of this prediction.New World Development sold Artisan Lab in Kowloon, Hong Kong for HK$ 620 million. Sing Tao Daily quoted an unnamed insider as saying that New World Development sold Artisan Lab in San Po Kong, Kowloon for HK$ 620 million. This 22-storey building was completed in 2022, with a floor area of about 120,000 square feet.


Details of the life of the murder suspect of UnitedHealth Insurance Company surfaced. On Tuesday, Luigi Mangione, the suspect accused of shooting a senior executive of United Health, had a brief struggle with police officers and shouted angrily when he was taken to a court in Pennsylvania. Man Ghioni, 26, turned to a group of reporters and shouted, "... completely unsociable, insulting the wisdom of the American people!" And then pushed away by the police. It is not clear what he is referring to. On Tuesday, more clues about his possible motive gradually surfaced. According to the police, Man Ghione had a handwritten declaration when he was arrested, which can let people know his mentality. According to The New York Times, an internal report of the new york police, after analyzing the document, concluded that Man Ghioni believed that killing was a proper response to what he thought was corruption in the medical industry. It is reported that Mann Ghioni wrote in the manifesto: "These parasites deserve it". According to Mancini's friends, his social media posts and other news reports, Mancini suffers from chronic back pain, which limits his daily life. His profile on X-ray shows an X-ray background picture with screws and steel plates inserted into his lower back.Galaxy Securities: Pay attention to investment opportunities in the fields of cement, consumer building materials, glass fiber, etc. The Galaxy Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) Cement: the price continues to push up, and the northern region has entered the winter peak-shifting stage. In November, the weather gradually turned cold, and the downstream market demand dropped slightly. Most provinces in the north have entered the stage of winter peak-shifting and kiln-stopping, and the kiln-stopping rate is above 80%. Under the background of improving supply and demand in the industry, cement enterprises continue to push up cement prices. 2) Consumer building materials: The retail end continued to improve month on month. In October, the retail sales of building and decoration materials decreased by 5.8% year-on-year and increased by 4.9% quarter-on-quarter. Recently, with the stabilization of commercial housing sales, the demand for consumer building materials has improved. 3) Glass fiber: the price of roving rose slightly at the end of the month, and the price of electronic yarn was temporarily stable. In November, the demand for wind power yarn and thermoplastic yarn was stable, but the demand for traditional building materials was still under pressure, which led to the general demand for roving. There are resumption of production and new ignition production lines within the month, and the annual production capacity has increased; Near the end of the month, glass fiber enterprises issued a notice of re-pricing roving and products. It will take some time for the new price to land, but it will have a certain driving effect on demand and price in the short term. 4) Float glass: at the end of the year, work will continue to support the market demand and the inventory of enterprises will be improved. In November, work was rushed to support the demand of float glass terminal, but the middle and lower reaches mainly digested the previous inventory, and the purchasing enthusiasm declined. In the context of the contradiction between supply and demand in the industry, the production capacity has been significantly reduced, and the inventory pressure of float glass enterprises has improved. Suggested attention: Beixin Building Materials, CONCH, China Jushi, etc.Ministry of Finance of Korea: Korea's financial market is still facing uncertainty.

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